Recent sanction decision of UN may push Iran back or are the sanctions consist of a hypocrisy? Answer of this question will be shaped by world's next 10 years.
Großansicht des Bildes mit der Bildunterschrift: Daniel Scheschkewitz May UN's sanction decision upon Iran, could push Iran back?

UN decided for sanctions upon Iran again. Iran's tank, war helicopter, and missile system import from foreign countries will be forbidden. 40 people and associations who have a relation with the Iran's nuclear program, will have financial and travelling constraints. New sanctions are also aiming to an important base of the regime, Revolutionary Guards.

Concrete steps of International Community about Iran's Nuclear Program should be appreciated but success of these steps is suspicious.

The trade between US Companies and fronting companies of Iran goes on through Iraq. Suleymaniye is dependent on Kurdistan Federal Republic and has a critic location is in the center of border trade. Secret trade between Iran and US is also planned in this city. Fronting companies which are dependent to Iran regime, use the strongest groups of Suleymaniye as agents. Agent groups are taking millions of dollars and they are blocking it in a bank in Northern Iraq. They find American drawees. Codes of desired goods are sent by e mail to US. American companies send the demanded machine parts, drill machines or centrifugal machines to the Northern Iraq. Goods are generally delivered at Turkey-Iraq border and they are transported with the escort of American soldiers to Suleymaniye. When the goods are delivered to the custom, money sent to the US companies from the bank.

Recently a fronting company from Iran Regime had a request from a trusted group from Suleymaniye. They wanted from group to become their agent and they said that they could only buy needed machinery and centrifugal parts from US. They found the US company in May. Iranians sent the codes of their desired special parts by e mail to the US company. Agreement had set and the money was blocked in Suleymaniye. They are counting days for delivery now.

There are maybe hundreds of American, Iranian and Iraqi sides whose names and letters are secret. Iran provides technology with this way and continues its nuclear program. UN Security Council had taken sanction decisions because of the crisis derived from the Iran's Nuclear Program but these decisions did not change the Iran's attitude. Neither economic embargo or Bush's threats or EU's negotiation efforts did not changed Tehran's attitude.

UN Security Council had some decisions against the Iran's Nuclear Program in the past but those decisions did not affected Tehran policy. Even economic embargo or threatens of Bus neither efforts of EU in the proceedings could not change the attitude of Iran.

Only truth was the Uranium Exchange Treaty between Turkey, Brazil and Iran. Sanctions made this treaty useless. Suspicions should be started at this point. Alliance of "Outsiders" had taken Washington's toy from its hands. US feared from an initiative for archenemy Iran which was designed by Continental neighbor Brazil and Turkey which is a NATO member for 50 years. It was understood as pushing up of new world order through US borders. This understanding of US is true but its capability was limited. So US insisted on the sanctions.

Now the pressure is increased. Aim of the sanctions is not the poor people of Iran, aim is the representatives of the regime and profit partners of the regime. If the content of the sanctions is examined, it can be clearly seen that not only the mullahs but also the trade bourgeois is a power factor. Financial and travelling constraints will be problematic for Iran trade world. Iran threatens UN and International Atomic Energy Agency with ending up the negotiations about Nuclear Program.

Sanctions have a possibility to success if only they are part of a long-term strategy. There is no such a strategy seen in these sanctions, these sanctions are more likely to decisions which are held for just making something. Probable results of the sanctions can be listed briefly.

1) Iran Regime will become harsher against the foreign pressure.
2) Chance of diplomacy will decrease.
3) Opposition in Iran will become weak.
4) Sand cloud will give Iran more time.

Hypocrisy

Tehran also knows that China and Russia do not desire the crisis to grow up. In contrast with the former president Bush, new president Obama is not leaning towards an military action upon Iran. If the stress between Turkey and Israel is considered, it is not possible that Washington would allow Israel to attack Iran's nuclear infrastructure.

By the sanction decision government had passed the first anniversary of bloody suppress of opposition in peace. Regime is concrete about suppressing any opposition and rejecting all criticism in the future too. Sanctions do not beneficial for democratic forces in the country, there is nothing about situation of human rights in the decision article. Sanctions empowered the government in this issue.

Sanctions are consisted of controlling the cargo transportation (ships, planes and vehicles) which are suspicious of transporting materials for Iran's nuclear program, forbidding the weapon selling to Iran, limiting banking and investment activities and banning wealth owned by Revolutionary Guards. This is a hypocrisy because the people who decides for sanctions also abolishes the sanctions.

List of Sanctions

Participants of Nuclear and/or Ballistic Program

President of Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center which is a Department of Iran Atomic Energy Association - Cevad Rahiki

Associations Included in Nuclear Program

Thermostat producer Amin Industrial Complex
Light Weapons Producer - Armament Industries Group AIG
Defense Technology and Science Research Center (DTSRC)
Doostan International Company (Ballistic Programs)
First East Export Bank - It has a relation with Bank Mellat which is known with Nuclear Program
Kaveh Cutting Tools Company - Already under the circumstances of the sanctions, known with Defense Industrial Organization.
Babaie Industries - Department of Aerospace Industries Organization
Malek Ashtar University
Modlex - Logistics export department of Iran Defense Ministry, blamed for selling weapons.
Mizan Machinery Manufacturing
Modern Industries Technique Company
Agricultural and Biologic Nuclear Research Center
Pejman Industrial Services Corporation
Sabalan Company
Şahid Karrazi Industries
Şahid Sattari Industries
Şahid Sayyade Şirazi Industries
Special Industries Group
Tiz Pars
Yazd Metallurgy Industries

Box-2

Organizations depended to Revolutionary Guards

Fater Institute
Haragehe Sazandegi Ghaem
Ghorb Karbala
Ghorb Nooh
Hara Company
Imensazan Consultant Engineers Institute
Hatem el-Anbiya Construction Headquarters (KAA)
Makin
Omran Sahel
KAA şubesi Oriental Oil Kish
Rah Sahel
Rahab Engineering Institute
Sahel Consultant Engineers
Sepanir
Sepasad Engineering Company

Organizations depended to Republic of Iran Water Lines

Irano Hind Shipping Company
IRISL Benelux NV
South Shipping Line Iran (SSL)