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United States Of Eurasia

June, 2010

Do you want them to go on, and on and on?
Why split these states
When there can be only one?

One of the most outstanding songs of the popular music group MUSE's 2009-released album The Resistance was United States of Eurasia. In the song that reminds legendary Queen's Works with its composition and lyrics, those words above stand out. Whether without realizing or with a providence, it as asked when all these states are going to come together and become one. There is serious progress in internal Asia about the answer of this question at one side. There is agreement about a common market in Eurasia, and about the issues of common currency and constituting of Eurasia Exchange Union (MoU), there is an agreement signed. Collective Security Treaty Organization that includes huge lands of Asia was actualized and military exercises were made. With all these moves, Eurasia that is exposed to a messy structured inconsistent period in the time of post Soviets, is setting off a new union, at economic base, day by day.
The geography that reaches from the West of China to the Ural Mountains reserves the most important subterranean resources of the world and is on the position of the trampoline of developing economies. The region's countries that meets most of the energy needs of Europe and Far East are gradually getting stronger.
KAZAKHSTAN: THE LEADER OF THE REGION
In Kazakhstan that attained political and economic consistency after independency, there are large petrol, uranium, iron, gold and leaden reserves. Kazakhstan is a significant country in respect of its natural resources and its geography. It is one of the limited countries in the world in terms of capacity and various minerals and stocks seams.
In Kazakhstan, there are 493 seams that contain a variation of 1225 different minerals. Because of the rich resources of uranium, chrome, leaden and zinc seams, it is the second in the world, in respect of manganese, third in the world, and as from copper, it is the fifth in the world. In respect of coal, iron and gold reserves, Kazakhstan is in the top ten in worldly rating system; and in terms of natural gas, petrol and aluminum, it is, respectively, in the first 12, 13 and 17 countries. In 1996, there was found the third biggest gold mines in Kazakhstan. 26 per cent of the chrome, 20 per cent of gold and 17 per cent of uranium in the world is in Kazakhstan.
The mineral and stocks production is way beyond their own needs. Therefore, 90 per cent of metallic bismuth, spongy titanium, clay and refined copper, manganese and its concentrates production; 80 per cent of petrol, metallic leaden and zinc production; and over 50 per cent of natural gas, coal, iron substance and chrome production is exported. The substantial resources richness that were discovered under Kazakhstan lands is worth over 2 trillion US Dollars. With this structure, it is becoming a giant country, along with the Caspian and in the middle of Middle Asia. The economics that is growing up with political consistency has made Kazakhstan a regional power, especially for Russia. Nazarbayev, with his balanced policies, has been making Kazakhstan the most powerful country in the world.
Russia has a 70 per cent of the share in the export of Kazakhstan and a 80 per cent in the import. The binary trade stock that reached 16 billion dollars last year between the two countries, reached 3 billion 930 million dollars by 22,5 per cent increase in the first three months of this year. Besides, in Kazakhstan, there are 3000 Russian businesses running. There are also important industrial facilities at Kazakhstan's border with Russia. Only under the condition of Kazakhstan's getting denser in cooperation with Russia in all areas, could it complete the period of economic change and the refreshment of technical implementations.
THOSE WITH ACCELARATIONS: UZBEKISTAN AND TURKMENISTAN
Turkmenistan, having one of the richest natural gas resources, stands out as an uprising country in Middle East. The most important problem is showed to be isolation policies. However, there is a kind of activation towards paraphrase policies with Berdimuhammedov. Berdimuhammedov, compared to his forerunner Niyazov, is acting more clearly. The opportunities that Turkmenistan gained play a crucial role in this. These opportunities can be arranged as international conjuncture in which the invasion of Afghanistan and energy (gas) are the determinant elements. Turkmenistan is attracting more and more foreign investment and not only with the west, but also it is making associations with its neighbors and Far East. The clearest indicator of this is energy agreement with China. When the problem about the Caspian's status is made clear, the investments for Turkmenistan are going to increase by piling up. We might expect that Turkmenistan is soon going to join Eurasia Economic Union. In this situation, the energy production in the Caspian will rise up. Besides this, construction of additional harbors beside the existing two tanker harbors may be in question. Turkmenistan's approach policy with Russia and China will probably put Europe in strain about the issue of energy in medial time.
Just like its neighbor, Uzbekistan is also developing with consistent and strong steps. Gold and fossil fuels make this country attractive. The most serious threat is the radical Islamic. Uzbekistan is the second country in which Afghanistan invasion is creating a threat for. Islamic radicals in Uzbekistan, which already has a rooted tradition, gained more power and expanded their social bases with Afghanistan War. In November 2005, while the economic partnership agreement that has been signed with Moscow, the fact that the expropriations in 2008 and 2009 appalled western corporations put China in an advantageous position. Subjective control regime prevented Uzbekistan's getting affected from the global crisis much.
Therefore, it is appropriate to expect that Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan are going to head to regional policies more than balance policy in medieval period. Risk might be external interventions that would trigger inconsistency.
SOFT SPOT: TAJIKISTAN AND KIRGHIZSTAN
The soft spot that would slow down Asia's developing process is seen as Tajikistan and Kirghizstan. The political inconsistency in Kirghizstan is going to last a while. Even if with the intervention of Russia and China, there is a partial consistency, economic inadequacy makes this countries' future improbable.
Kirghizstan got weaker by going for bloody government changes in the last five years. Productive running of gold and uranium mines will much probably be developing under the circumstance that they would work as a bridge between Kazakhstan and China.
The same situation is viable for Tajikistan, also. The fact that Tajikistan is closer to Iran's influence ethnically is a distinctive element for its social structure. Russia dominates this country in the perspective of trades.
But, its situation can be defined as a doorway of Islamic militants in the South Asia to the Middle Asia. However, Tajikistan, is a Middle Asia country that takes very strict and harsh measures against this power. Groups that are fed by closed society, unfair distribution of income, and drugs, hypothecating the future of Tajikistan.
Conclusion
Together with CIS, taking part in Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO), Eurasian Economic Community, Middle Asia has developed the competition elements with west in the joint interest perspective with China.
There is a approximately 200 million block bazaar and Russia as the leader of it. After this new formation that rising in Eurasia, the path that powerful coutries like Turkey, Iran and India will fallow, is going to effect all countries in the region directly.
Middle Asia, was once a region that successful in the fields of cheap workforce and natural resources but has low attraction due to the population and low purchasing power, has became a region that eliminates that two disadvantages and rises as an attractive area.
Just like the song says;
They just promise to go on, and on and on
But soon we will see
There can be only one
...
United States of Eurasia.

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